Awards season 2023 predictions – From The Banshees of Inisherin to The Fabelmans (2023)

It has been quite the year of cinema, with plenty in play as the new year begins and awards season officially get sunderway.

With everything from Top Gun: Maverick, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever and The Banshees of Inisherin stirring up positive reviews and reactions, it’s a pretty wide open field as to which films will nab those industry accolades.

There are also several in the mix which are yet to be released in the UK,including Steven Spielberg’s The Fabelmans, Todd Field’s Tár and The Whale and its wave-making performance from comeback star Brendan Fraser.

Howver, with just weeks to go until the first movie prizes are handed out, we’ve come up with a list of the films we reckon will feature on the shortlists for both the British Acadamey Film Awards and the Oscars.

There’s also our picks for who will triumph from among the already-announced Golden Globe nominees, so read on to see what we think will bag those gongs…

Best film – From The Banshees of Inisherin to Babylon

The Banshees of Inisherin – The critics’ darling of 2022, garlanded with a heap of five-star reviews, this comes from the mind of the award-winning Martin McDonagh and offers stand-out performances from all of its cast, including Colin Farrell, Barry Keoghan and Brendan Gleeson. Could easily repeat the success of McDonagh’s last, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.

Everything Everywhere All at Once – An imaginative indie flick courtesy of the Daniels, which follows an aging Chinese immigrant as she explores multiple connecting universes in a bid to save her own. Another likely to see plenty of its cast also contending for awards.

The Fabelmans – Not yet out in the UK, this is cinema maestro Steven Spielberg’s latest, which is a semi-autobiographical take on his own post-war childhood, so expect sentimentality from a master of the form who’s made us weep before with ET, Saving Private Ryan and Schindler’s List.

Elvis – It may have divided audiences upon its release, but the sheer style, scale and spectacle of this biopic of the King of Rock ‘n Roll from Baz Luhrmann is likely to be acknowledged.

Avatar: The Way of Water – For pushing the boundaries of VFX and motion capture to beautiful new heights, this Avatar sequel should sweep the technical categories, but James Cameron’s latest could also be congratulated on its epic achievement with a best picture nomination or two as well.

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – Now we live in a world where blockbusters do get nominated, this combination of action film and profound study of grief, inspired by the real-life loss of star Chadwick Boseman, surely deserves to follow in the footsteps of its predecessor.

Babylon – It may have bombed at the box office in the US upon release, but Hollywood loves Hollywood, and this hair-raising, hell-raising look at Tinseltown’s history has already managed five Golden Globe nominations.

Top Gun: Maverick – The fantastic success of this sequel with critics and audiences alike proves that sequels aren’t always a bad idea, nor are they doomed to be a pale shadow of the original. A wave of affection for enduring action man and dyed-in-the-wool movie star Tom Cruise could push this onto shortlists.

All Quiet on the Western Front – A remake of the 1930 classic, Germany’s entry for best international feature has been attracting admiration for months and could easily see itself tip into the main best film races too.

Aftersun – More of an outside chance, but this indie gem from A24 – who have a great track record with success like Moonlight and Lady Bird – has been enchanting viewers with its tale of a young father and his 11-year-old daughter holidaying together in Turkey in the late 1990s.

Best director – From Steven Spielberg to The Daniels

Martin McDonagh – He has an Oscar under his belt for best short film, as well as Bafta and Golden Globe nominations for his direction and plenty of other film accolades. If McDonagh doesn’t get his first best director Oscar nomination for The Banshees of Inisherin, it will be a big upset.

Steven Spielberg – For his most personal film yet, it feels like industry legend Spielberg is likely to charm many voters with The Fabelmans.

Baz Luhrmann – Elvis might not be everyone’s cup of tea, but Luhrmann certainly subscribes to the ‘go hard or go home’ school of thought, and its likely the marathon biopic will earn him recognition for his efforts.

Todd Field – Táris writer-director Todd Field’s first film in over 16 years since Little Children. The film industry loves a comeback.

James Cameron – Perhaps just for the sheer audacity of pulling Avatar: The Way of Water off – and likely at least another of its planned sequels – Cameron will likely get a love for his multi-year labour of love.

(Video) Academy Awards 2023 Predictions

Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert – ‘The Daniels’ are indie favourites and seemingly charmed audiences and – crucially – many a celeb with the wacky and unique Everything Everywhere All at Once. Many awards body members are expected to have this high on their ballot papers.

Sarah Polley – A quiet outside effort from what might, disappointingly, be the only woman in contention in the director category this year. Women Talking is out in the UK in early February and follows a group of women in an isolated religious community as they try to reconcile brutal reality with their faith.

Damien Chazelle – Again, Babylon is not a contender for everyone, but Chazelle has poured years of passion and research into this dark and spawling love letter to the Hollywood of almost 100 years ago, and many voters will bite.

Park Chan-wook – Decision to Leave is a South Korean film and romantic mystery heralded by many that could easily enjoy further breakthrough success, following in the footsteps of the rather different Parasite in 2020.

Ryan Coogler – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever is expected to pop up in quite a few awards’ categories in 2023, and it would be an oversight to leave its main shepherd out in the cold.

Best actor – From Austin Butler to Brendan Fraser

Austin Butler, Elvis

Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin

Bill Nighy, Living

Diego Calva, Babylon

Brendan Fraser, The Whale

Paul Mescal, Aftersun

Jonathan Majors, Devotion

Gabriel LaBelle, The Fabelmans

Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick

Adam Driver, White Noise

Best actress – From Cate Blanchett to Michelle Yeoh

Viola Davis, The Woman King

Cate Blanchett, Tár

Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande

Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once

(Video) Reviewing The 2023 Golden Globes Nominees (And My Predictions)

Margot Robbie, Babylon

Lesley Manville, Mrs Harris Goes to Paris

Ana de Armas, Blonde

Olivia Colman, Empire Of Light

Florence Pugh, The Wonder

Best supporting actor – From Ke Huy Quan to Barry Keoghan

Brad Pitt, Babylon

Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Paul Dano, The Fabelmans

Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin

Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin

Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway

Ben Whishaw, Women Talking

Micheal Ward, Empire Of Light

Woody Harrelson, Triangle of Sadness

Mark Rylance, Bones and All

Best supporting actress – From Angela Bassett to Jamie Lee Curtis

Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Claire Foy, Women Talking

Jessie Buckley, Women Talking

Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

(Video) Golden Globes Nominations Reactions + Thoughts + Analysis From a Top 5% Accuracy Predictor

Carey Mulligan, She Said

Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin

Dolly De Leon, Triangle of Sadness

Nina Hoss, Tár

Janelle Monáe, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

Golden Globes 2023 predictions

Best Picture – Drama

Should win: Tár

Will win: The Fabelmans

Best Picture – Musical or Comedy

Should win: Everything Everywhere All at Once

Will win: The Banshees of Inisherin

Best Director

Should win: Martin McDonagh

Will win: Steven Spielberg

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Should win: Austin Butler

Will win: Brendan Fraser

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

(Video) Predicting the 2023 Oscars Oscars 2023 Our Predictions, Favorites, & Wildcard Picks

Should win: Colin Farrell

Will win: Colin Farrell

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Should win: Cate Blanchett

Will win: Michelle Williams

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Should win: Michelle Yeoh

Will win: Michelle Yeoh

Best Supporting Actor

Should win: Barry Keoghan

Will win: Ke Huy Quan

Best Supporting Actress

Should win: Angela Bassett

Will win: Jamie Lee Curtis

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